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Ovation: Screen Actors Guild Awards & Predictions.

01/27/2013

sawards_showdetails_fI love awards shows.  I always have.  And one of my favorites has always been the Screen Actors Guild Awards.  The SAG Awards, which made its debut in 1995, is different than the Golden Globe Awards and the Academy Awards (“Oscars”) because actors vote for other actors.  The only televised awards shows to exclusively honor performers, it presents thirteen awards for acting in film and television.  This year’s recipients will be announced tonight in a two hour live broadcast.  I have a reasonably successful history of picking the winners for the SAG Awards and this year I’m going to share my predictions.  I’ve highlighted my predictions in the following list of categories and nominees.

UPDATE:  I picked six winners correctly and was wrong on seven.  I was particularly surprised by the two wins for acting awarded to Alec Baldwin and Tina Fey of 30 Rock.  This is the show’s last season and, I’m please that Fey is finally being recognized for her acting as well as her writing, but I really hoped the union would recognize someone other than Baldwin this year.  The motion picture awards only added to the confusion surrounding this year’s Oscar race as Jennifer Lawrence and Argo appear to be gaining momentum. It seems that Hathaway could be the only win for Les Miserables come Oscar night.  I need to hone my skills before then.  

PREDICTED CORRECTLY (6)

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Daniel Day Lewis
Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture – Anne Hathaway
Actress in a Movie or Miniseries – Julianne Moore
Actor in a Drama Series – Bryan Cranston
Actress in a Drama Series – Claire Danes
Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Comedy Series – “Modern Family”

PREDICTED INCORRECTLY (7)

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Jennifer Lawrence
Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture – Tommy Lee Jones
Outstanding Perfromance by a Cast in a Motion Picture – “Argo”
Actor in a Movie or Miniseries – Kevin Costner
Actor in a Comedy Series – Alec Baldwin
Actress in a Comedy Series – Tina Fey
Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Drama Series – “Downtown Abby”

Theatrical Motion Pictures

Outstanding Performance By A Male Actor In A Leading Role

  • Bradley Cooper / Pat – “Silver Linings Playbook” (The Weinstein Company)
  • Daniel Day-lewis / Abraham Lincoln – “Lincoln” (Touchstone Pictures)
  • John Hawkes / Mark – “The Sessions” (FOX Searchlight)
  • Hugh Jackman / Jean Valjean – “Les Misérables” (Universal Pictures)
  • Denzel Washington / Whip Whitaker – “Flight” (Paramount Pictures)tures)

Outstanding Performance By A Female Actor In A Leading Role

  • Jessica Chastain / Maya – “Zero Dark Thirty” (Columbia Pictures)
  • Marion Cotillard / Stephanie – “Rust And Bone” (sony Pictures Classics)
  • Jennifer Lawrence / Tiffany – “Silver Linings Playbook” (The Weinstein Company)
  • Helen Mirren / Alma Reville – “Hitchcock” (FOX Searchlight)
  • Naomi Watts / Maria – “The Impossible” (Summit Entertainment)

Outstanding Performance By A Male Actor In A Supporting Role

  • Alan Arkin / Lester Siegel – “Argo” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
  • Javier Bardem / Silva – “Skyfall” (Columbia Pictures)
  • Robert De Niro / Pat, Sr. – “Silver Linings Playbook” (The Weinstein Company)
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman / Lancaster Dodd – “The Master” (The Weinstein Company)
  • Tommy Lee Jones / Thaddeus Stevens – “Lincoln” (Touchstone Pictures)

Outstanding Performance By A Female Actor In A Supporting Role

  • Sally Field / Mary Todd Lincoln – “Lincoln” (Touchstone Pictures)
  • Anne Hathaway / Fantine – “Les Misérables” (Universal Pictures)
  • Helen Hunt / Cheryl – “The Sessions” (FOX Searchlight)
  • Nicole Kidman / Charlotte Bless – “The Paperboy” (Millennium Entertainment)
  • Maggie Smith / Muriel Donnelly – “The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel” (FOX Searchlight)

Outstanding Performance By A Cast In A Motion Picture

  • Argo (Warner Bros. Pictures)
    Ben Affleck / Tony Mendez, Alan Arkin / Lester Siegel, Kerry Bishé / Kathy Stafford, Kyle Chandler / Hamilton Jordan, Rory Cochrane / Lee Schatz, Bryan Cranston / Jack O’donnell, Christopher Denham / Mark Lijek, Tate Donovan / Bob Anders, Clea Duvall / Cora Lijek, Victor Garber / Ken Taylor, John Goodman / John Chambers, Scoot Mcnairy / Joe Stafford, Chris Messina / Malinov
  • The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (FOX Searchlight)
    Judi Dench / Evelyn Greenslade, Celia Imrie / Madge Hardcastle, Bill Nighy / Douglas Ainslie, Dev Patel / Sonny Kapoor, Ronald Pickup / Norman Cousins, Maggie Smith / Muriel Donnelly, Tom Wilkinson / Graham Dashwood, Penelope Wilton / Jean Ainslie
  • Les Misérables (Universal Pictures)
    Isabelle Allen / Young Cosette, Samantha Barks / Eponine, Sacha Baron Cohen / Thénardier, Helena Bonham Carter / Madame Thénardier, Russell Crowe / Javert, Anne Hathaway / Fantine, Daniel Huttlestone / Gavroche, Hugh Jackman / Jean Valjean, Eddie Redmayne / Marius, Amanda Seyfried / Cosette, Aaron Tveit / Enjolras, Colm Wilkinson / Bishopan Ainslie
  • Lincoln (Touchstone Pictures)
    Daniel Day-lewis / Abraham Lincoln, Sally Field / Mary Todd Lincoln, Joseph Gordon-levitt / Robert Todd Lincoln, Hal Holbrook / Preston Blair, Tommy Lee Jones / Thaddeus Stevens, James Spader / W.N. Bilbo, David Strathairn / William Seward
  • Silver Linings Playbook (The Weinstein Company)
    Bradley Cooper / Pat, Robert De Niro / Pat, Sr., Anupam Kher / Dr. Cliff Patel, Jennifer Lawrence / Tiffany, Chris Tucker / Danny, Jacki Weaver / Dolores

Primetime Television

Outstanding Performance By A Male Actor In A Television Movie Or Miniseries

  • Kevin Costner / “Devil Anse” Hatfield – “Hatfields & Mccoys” (History)
  • Woody Harrelson / Steve Schmidt – “Game Change” (HBO)
  • Ed Harris / John Mccain – “Game Change” (HBO)
  • Clive Owen / Ernest Hemingway & “Hemingway & Gellhorn” (HBO)
  • Bill Paxton / Randall Mccoy – “Hatfields & Mccoys” (History)

Outstanding Performance By A Female Actor In A Television Movie Or Miniseries

  • Nicole Kidman / Martha Gellhorn – “Hemingway & Gellhorn” (HBO)
  • Julianne Moore / Sarah Palin – “Game Change” (HBO)
  • Charlotte Rampling / Eva Delectorskaya – “Restless” (Sundance Channel)
  • Sigourney Weaver / Elaine Barrish Hammond – “Political Animals” (USA)
  • Alfre Woodard / Ouiser – “steel Magnolias” (Lifetime)

Outstanding Performance By A Male Actor In A Drama Series

  • Steve Buscemi / Enoch “Nucky” Thompson – “Boardwalk Empire” (HBO)
  • Bryan Cranston / Walter White – “Breaking Bad” (AMC)
  • Jeff Daniels / Will Mcavoy – “The Newsroom” (HBO)
  • Jon Hamm / Don Draper – “mad Men” (AMC)
  • Damian Lewis / Nicholas Brody – “Homeland” (Showtime)

Outstanding Performance By A Female Actor In A Drama Series

  • Claire Danes / Carrie Mathison – “Homeland” (Showtime)
  • Michelle Dockery / Lady Mary Crawley – “Downton Abbey” (PBS)
  • Jessica Lange / Sister Jude – “American Horror Story: Asylum” (FX)
  • Julianna Margulies / Alicia Florrick – “The Good Wife” (CBS)
  • Maggie Smith / Violet, Dowager Countess Of Grantham – “Downton Abbey” (PBS)

Outstanding Performance By A Male Actor In A Comedy Series

  • Alec Baldwin / Jack Donaghy – “30 Rock” (NBC)
  • Ty Burrell / Phil Dunphy – “Modern Family” (ABC)
  • Louis C.K. / Louie – “Louie” (FX)
  • Jim Parsons / Sheldon Cooper – “The Big Bang Theory” (CBS)
  • Eric Stonestreet / Cameron Tucker – “Modern Family” (ABC)

Outstanding Performance By A Female Actor In A Comedy Series

  • Edie Falco / Jackie Peyton – “Nurse Jackie” (Showtime)
  • Tina Fey / Liz Lemon – “30 Rock” (NBC)
  • Amy Poehler / Leslie Knope – “parks And Recreation” (NBC)
  • Sofia Vergara / Gloria Delgado-pritchett – “Modern Family” (ABC)
  • Betty White / Elka Ostrovsky – “Hot In Cleveland” (TV Land)

Outstanding Performance By An Ensemble In A Drama Series

  • Boardwalk Empire (HBO)
    Steve Buscemi / Enoch “Nucky” Thompson, Chris Caldovino / Tonino Sandrelli, Bobby Cannavale / Gyp Rosetti, Meg Chambers Steedle / Billie Kent, Charlie Cox / Owen Sleater, Jack Huston / Richard Harrow, Patrick Kennedy / Dr. Douglas Mason, Anthony Laciura / Eddie Kessler, Kelly Macdonald / Margaret Thompson, Gretchen Mol / Gillian Darmody, Vincent Piazza / Lucky Luciano, Paul Sparks / Mickey Doyle, Michael Stuhlbarg / Arnold Rothstein, Shea Whigham / Elias “Eli” Thompson, Anatol Yusef / Meyer Lansky, Breaking Bad (AMC), Jonathan Banks / Mike Ehrmantraut, Betsy Brandt / Marie Schrader, Bryan Cranston / Walter White, Laura Fraser / Lydia Rodart-quayle, Anna Gunn / Skyler White, Rj Mitte / Walter White, Jr., Dean Norris / Hank Schrader, Bob Odenkirk / Saul Goodman, Aaron Paul / Jesse Pinkman, Jesse Plemons / Todd, Steven Michael Quezada / Gomez
  • Downton Abbey (PBS)
    Hugh Bonneville / Robert, Earl Of Grantham, Zoe Boyle / Lavinia Swire, Laura Carmichael / Lady Edith Crawley, Jim Carter / Mr. Carson, Brendan Coyle / John Bates, Michelle Dockery / Lady Mary Crawley, Jessica Brown Findlay / Lady Sybil Crawley, Siobhan Finneran / O’brien, Joanne Froggatt / Anna, Iain Glen / Sir Richard Carlisle, Thomas Howes / William, Rob James-collier / Thomas, Allen Leech / Tom Branson, Phyllis Logan / Mrs. Hughes, Elizabeth Mcgovern / Cora, Countess Of Grantham, Sophie Mcshera / Daisy, Lesley Nicol / Mrs. Patmore, Amy Nuttall / Ethel, David Robb / Dr. Clarkson, Maggie Smith / Violet, Dowager Countess Of Grantham, Dan Stevens / MatThew Crawley, Penelope Wilton / Isobel Crawley / Gomez
  • Homeland (Showtime)
    Morena Baccarin / Jessica Brody, Timothée Chalamet / Finn Walden, Claire Danes / Carrie Mathison, Rupert Friend / Peter Quinn, David Harewood / David Estes, Diego Klattenhoff / Mike Faber, Damian Lewis / Nicholas Brody, David Marciano / Virgil, Navid Negahban / Abu Nazir, Jackson Pace / Chris Brody, Mandy Patinkin / Saul Berenson, Zuleikha Robinson / Roya Hammad, Morgan Saylor / Dana Brody, Jamey Sheridan / Vice President Walden
  • Mad Men (AMC)
    Ben Feldman / Michael Ginsberg, Jay R. Ferguson / Stan Rizzo, Jon Hamm / Don Draper, Jared Harris / Lane Pryce, Christina Hendricks / Joan Harris, Vincent KarTheiser / Pete Campbell, Robert Morse / Bertram Cooper, Elisabeth Moss / Peggy Olson, Jessica Paré / Megan Calvet Draper, Teyonah Parris / Dawn Chambers, Kiernan Shipka / Sally Draper, John Slattery / Roger Sterling, Rich Sommer / Harry Crane, Aaron Staton / Kenneth Cosgrove

Outstanding Performance By An Ensemble In A Comedy Series

  • 30 Rock (NBC)
    Scott Adsit / Pete Hornberger, Alec Baldwin / Jack Donaghy, Tina Fey / Liz Lemon, Judah Friedlander / Frank Rossitano, Jane Krakowski / Jenna Maroney, Jack Mcbrayer / Kenneth Parcell, Tracy Morgan / Tracy Jordan
  • The Big Bang Theory (CBS)
    Mayim Bialik / Amy Farrah Fowler, Kaley Cuoco / Penny, Johnny Galecki / Leonard Hofstadter, Simon Helberg / Howard Wolowitz, Kunal Nayyar / Rajesh Koothrappali, Jim Parsons / Sheldon Cooper, Melissa Rauch / Bernadette Rostenkowski
  • Glee (FOX)
    Dianna Agron / Quinn Fabray, Chris Colfer / Kurt Hummel, Darren Criss / Blaine Anderson, Samuel Larsen / Joe Hart, Vanessa Lengies / Sugar Motta, Jane Lynch / Sue Sylvester, Jayma Mays / Emma Pillsbury, Kevin Mchale / Artie Abrams, Lea Michele / Rachel Berry, Cory Monteith / Finn Hudson, HeaTher Morris / Brittany Pierce, MatThew Morrison / Will Schuester, Alex Newell / Wade Adams/unique, Chord Overstreet / Sam Evans, Amber Riley / Mercedes Jones, Naya Rivera / Santana Lopez, Mark Salling / Noah “Puck” Puckerman, Harry Shum, Jr. / Mike Chang, Jenna Ushkowitz / Tina Cohen-Chang
  • Modern Family (ABC)
    Aubrey Anderson-Emmons / Lily Tucker-Pritchett, Julie Bowen / Claire Dunphy, Ty Burrell / Phil Dunphy, Jesse Tyler Ferguson / Mitchell Pritchett, Nolan Gould / Luke Dunphy, Sarah Hyland / Haley Dunphy, Ed O’neill / Jay Pritchett, Rico Rodriguez / Manny Delgado, Eric Stonestreet / Cameron Tucker, Sofia Vergara / Gloria Delgado-Pritchett, Ariel Winter / Alex Dunphy
  • Nurse Jackie (Showtime)
    Mackenzie Aladjem / Fiona Peyton, Eve Best / Dr. Ellie O’hara, Bobby Cannavale / Dr. Mike Cruz, Jake Cannavale / Charlie Cruz, Peter Facinelli / Dr. Fitch Cooper, Edie Falco / Jackie Peyton, Dominic Fumusa / Kevin Peyton, Arjun Gupta / Sam, Lenny Jacobson / Lenny, Ruby Jerins / Grace Peyton, Paul Schulze / Eddie Walzer, Anna Deavere Smith / Gloria Akalitus, Stephen Wallem / Thor Lundgren, Merritt Wever / Zoey Barkow
  • The Office (NBC)
    Leslie David Baker / Stanley Hudson, Brian Baumgartner / Kevin Malone, Creed Bratton / Creed Bratton, Clarke Duke / Clark, Jenna Fischer / Pam Halpert, Kate Flannery / Meredith Palmer, Ed Helms / Andy Bernard, Mindy Kaling / Kelly Kapoor, Ellie Kemper / Erin Hannon, Angela Kinsey / Angela Martin, John Krasinski / Jim Halpert, Jake Lacey / Peter, Paul Lieberstein / Toby Flenderson, B.j. Novak / Ryan Howard, Oscar Nuñez / Oscar Martinez, Craig Robinson / Darryl Philbin, Phyllis Smith / Phyllis Vance, CaTherine Tate / Nellie Bertram, Rainn Wilson / Dwight Schrute

Tonight’s broadcast will also include the presentation of the Screen Actors Guild 49th Annual Life Achievement Award to Dick Van Dyke which should prove to be a very entertaining segment.

So … how do you think I’ve done?  Am I way off base on any of my predictions?

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4 Comments
  1. I haven’t seen many of these movies (I’m a DVD girl!) but I do so hope Daniel Day Lewis gets it. I love to see an historical film getting accolades. And Sally Field was amazing as Mary Todd Lincoln.

    Like

    • She really WAS wonderful as Mary Todd Lincoln. (I think she’s wonderful in most everything!) And, while I preferred Lincoln to Les Miserables, I’ve never seen a performance as unbelievably emotional as Hathaway’s.

      Like

  2. Wow, you really do like award shows. Thanks for the detail summary and your picks. I need to see a couple of those movies – Sliver Linings Playbook, Argo and Zero Dark Thirty.

    Like

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